DFS Advice & Projections

Kings NFL Money Maker: Week 6 NFL DFS Picks for Draftkings

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Welcome to Kings NFL Money Maker Week 6 Edition. Each week I’ll be presenting you with two money-making players at each position. Normally I’ll have an expensive or chalk player followed by a punt play or sleeper listed for each position. Although, this is DFS and nothing is etched in stone. Some weeks there may be two chalk plays or sleeper plays because the match up is just too sweet!
These plays are designed to send you soaring into the money. (Your Money Makers) You can mix and match however you see fit. Just plug them in! After all, the number one reason we all do this is to make money! Now let’s check out this weeks NFL Money Makers!

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Quarterbacks

 

Deshaun Watson ($6,700)

 If you’ve been reading Money Maker, then you know by now that I am head over heels in love with the Texans offense. In the last 3 games Watson has thrown 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions respectfully, to go along with 845 yards passing and a rushing touchdown. The kid is a star, I’ve been saying it since he was drafted, and I’m not about to stop now. He looks like a 10 year veteran out there with his pocket presence and when he scrambles you better look out! He’s not looking to dump off to the running back, he’s looking for the big play up field. For a long time now it seemed like the only thing the Houston Texans were missing was a quarterback. Well they found him, and this most likely won’t be the last time he makes the Money Maker list.
This week he’ll be facing a much improved Cleveland Browns defense, but let’s be honest, they’re still the Browns. While Myles Garret is an amazing talent, football is a team sport and he can’t do it all. They’re allowing an average passer rating of 112.40 to opposing quarterbacks, (Highest in the NFL) to go along with 244 passing yards and 2.20 touchdowns per game. Out of the 95 first downs they’ve allowed so far this year, a whopping 63 of them have been allowed by pass. Their rushing defense is night and day from what it was last year as they’re only giving up 2.9 yards per rush. While pass defense is obviously a whole different story. (7.9 yards per pass) These stats equal another huge day for Deshaun Watson as he once again becomes the top Money Maker of the week.

NOTE: Unfortunately the rest of the world has now caught on to the fact that the Houston offense (Deshaun Watson) is the real deal. He will undoubtedly be high owned so use with caution. I’d recommend using some GPP sleeper plays in your lines that include Watson in order to differentiate yourself from the crowd. Another good strategy is to not go 100% on him if you’re running multiple lines. That way if he bombs, (Which I really don’t think he will) you’ll have a leg up on the rest of the world that drafted him. Nothing in DFS is for certain until the games are over and the main thing we want to do is help you win money. So play smart and have fun!

 



 

Ben Roethlisberger ($5,700)

 It’s crazy, but I’ve actually read comments from people suggesting that it may be the end for Roethlisberger after last weeks game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. While 5 interceptions is REALLY bad (2 pick sixes) let’s cool it with the whole replace Big Ben talk for now. The last time Ben Roethlisberger threw even close to 5 interceptions was in 2008 against the New York Giants. He threw 4 interceptions in a 21 to 14 loss, followed by a 3 interception game against the Indianapolis Colts 2 weeks later. Afterwards people were actually saying the same kind of things they’re saying now. In true Big Ben fashion, just as he did last week, he placed the blame squarely on his shoulders. The bottom line is, that year the Steelers finished second in the AFC and went on to win the Superbowl. Don’t count Big Ben out quite yet…
The Chiefs seem to be by far the best team in football so far this year, but quarterbacks are doing respectfully against them. Averaging 264 yards and 1.80 touchdowns per game (Including Deshaun Watsons insane 5 touchdown game last week).  Every team is different from one year to the next, but in his career Big Ben has had quite a bit of success against the Chiefs. He’s currently 5 – 1 against them with 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. In fact, the last time he played the chiefs was last year in a game that Roethlisberger threw for 300 yards and 5 touchdowns on his way to a passer rating of 152.2!
It’s not very often that you can get Ben Roethlisberger for this cheap on Draftkings, and I plan to take advantage of it! A big part of him being a Money Maker this week is the fact that his ownership will be so unbelievably low.  After his outing last week, the media and fantasy football players are taking every chance they can get to bag on the man. Not to mention the fact that he’s playing against the only undefeated team left in the NFL! If we can get Ben at 4% to 10% ownership and he goes off for 4 touchdown passes, that equals a big day for us, and makes him a top sleeper option at the quarterback position.

 

Bonus Money Makers: Matthew Stafford, Jacoby Brissett, Carson Wentz, Trevor Siemian, **Drew Brees & Kirk Cousins

 

NOTE: Injury updates look positive so far for Derek Carr and Marcus Mariota. If either of them end up playing then they are both viable options and can be used in all formats.


Running Backs

Kareem Hunt ($8,200) & Leonard Fournette ($8,000)

 I tried and tried, but for the life of me I just could not come up with which running back I liked better this week. So this is what you get, both running backs are in great positions and are leading the rookie class in the NFL this year. They will both be highly owned and quite frankly they’ve earned it! Fournette has scored at least one touchdown in every game played this season. While Kareem hunt hasn’t scored a touchdown in 3 weeks, he is electric and a true threat every time he touches the ball. You can’t go wrong with either one, and honestly the case can be made to have both in your line if possible. The choice is up to you, they’re both money makers and I don’t see them slowing down anytime soon.
Leonard Fournette is taking on the Los Angeles Rams at home. The Rams are giving up an amazing 120 rushing yards per game (4.61 per play) to go along with 1.20 touchdowns. This is pretty much a dream match up for Fournette and although he’ll be highly owned. He’s such a good play that I don’t think it matters! As if the 120 yards a game wasn’t bad enough, the Rams are also giving up 4.20 catches and 40 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs. Fournette  is averaging 94 yards a game and has 3 or more catches in 3 out of 5 games played this year. It’s crazy but the Jacksonville Jaguars are now 3-2 and leading their division thanks to their defense and their running back (Leonard Fournette). They beat the Steelers last week 30-9 with 95 yards from their freaking quarterback! They’ll continue to ride Fournette as far as he’ll take them. So we might as well hop on and enjoy the ride!
Meanwhile Kareem Hunt is taking on the Same Steelers defense that Leonard Fournette torched last week for 181 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Like I said last week, the Steelers defense just isn’t the same. Especially when it comes to the run game! They’re now giving up 130 yards per game at 5.19 yards per carry! Not the same Steel Curtain they used to be huh!? Not to mention the fact that they’re giving up 6 catches a game to the position. The Chiefs are the only undefeated team left in football for a reason. They’re the real deal! Out of the two, I expect Fournette to be higher owned than Hunt. NFL DFS is a what have you done for me lately kind of sport and Fournette has been absolutely destroying defenses. The Jaguars also don’t have Alex Smith, so they have to ride the running back position harder than the Chiefs do. That doesn’t mean Hunt can’t out produce Fournette though as we all know that anything can happen any given Sunday.

 

 



 

Elijah McGuire ($4,600)

Speaking of NFL defenses not being what they used to…. The New England Patriots have been getting roasted by opposing running backs! It’s out of character for them, but numbers don’t lie! They’re giving up 100 yards per game at 5.24 yards per carry to go along with 6 catches and 75 receiving yards. That’s a total of 175 all purpose yards per game to opposing running backs! (Yikes!)  I was iffy on McGuire last week going up against the Cleveland Browns much improved run defense. So much so that even though I played him in a couple lines, I refused to recommend him. Turns out that I shouldn’t have even wasted a couple lines on him as we was eaten up by the Browns defense. This week though, I’m willing to take the risk!
This is a divisional game for the New York Jets, playing at home against a team that they hate. So they’re going to play hard, and as long as Matt Forte and or Bilal Powell doesn’t play due to injury…. McGuire is in prime position to be a Money Maker. He had a 93 yard game against Jacksonville on only 10 attempts to go along with a touchdown. So he’s proved that he can produce when placed in the right position. To be honest I think his poor performance last week was more due to the opponent than anything else. Yes, he is absolutely risky and I wouldn’t go 100% on him or anything, but I will certainly have him sprinkled throughout my lineups this week. The rest is up to you!

 

Bonus Money Makers: **Todd Gurley, **Duke Johnson Jr, Jay Ajayi, CJ Anderson, **Marshawn Lynch & Melvin Gordon


Wide Receivers

 

Sep 7, 2014; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown (84) runs over Cleveland Browns punter Spencer Lanning (5) during the first half at Heinz Field. Brown was flagged on the play. Mandatory Credit: Jason Bridge-USA TODAY Sports

Antonio Brown ($9,300)

 So, even though Big Ben had an unbelievably ugly 5 interception (2 picks sixes) game last week. He still threw for 312 yards against one of the best secondaries in the league, and 157 of those yards went to Antonio Brown. Brown had double digit catches for the third time this season and his ownership was so low it was insane! As good as Brown is, the one area he is lacking in production so far this year is when it comes to touchdowns. It’s crazy but he only has one touchdown this year and we’re 5 games into the season! He’s faced some stingy defenses so far, but there’s honestly no excuse for that. Call it a gut feeling, but I think that changes this week, and it wouldn’t surprise me if Brown walks away with double digit touchdowns at the end of the day Sunday. You heard it here first!
The Chiefs are giving up 168 yards and 1.80 touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers. The average distance of each pass they’re allowing is almost 16 yards. Which works out well for Antonio Brown as the deep pass is one of his specialties. The Steelers murdered the Chiefs last year 43-14. A game in which Brown caught only 4 catches on 5 targets for 64 yards. (However, two of those catches went for touchdowns) I don’t expect a blowout this year, but I do expect this game to be a shoot out. The only chance the Steelers have this week is if they get Brown heavily involved, and I think they will. I’m actually picking the Steelers to win in an upset that ruins the Chiefs chances at a perfect season. Lock Brown in!

 

 

 

Marvin Jones Jr ($4,600)

Speaking of shootouts, this game has all the makings of a classic in the Superdome! Brees stats following a bye week are insane and both quarterbacks will be slinging the hell out of the ball to keep up with the other. While Golden Tate is almost always a good option, we can’t forget about Marvin Jones Junior. The Saints will undoubtedly do all they can to slow down Tate, in turn leaving Jones with a lot of good looks.
After scoring touchdowns in weeks 1 and 2 Marvin Jones has been kept out of the end zone 3 weeks in a row. A lot of people may be turned off by that fact, but it actually attracts me more as it means that he is due. We all know that the Saints defense is far from the” No Fly Zone” in Denver. Since their Superbowl run their secondary has been getting eaten up like opposing offenses just finished fasting! With Kenny Golladay injured and most likely missing another week, Jones finds himself in prime position to be a Money Maker. With all the attention Tate will garner, he just may fly under the radar. Just how we like them!

 

 

Bonus Money Makers: **DeAndre Hopkins, *Mike Evans, Jarvis Landry, Nelson Agholor, T.Y. Hilton, Will Fuller, Martavis Bryant & Davante Adams


Tight Ends

 

Evan Engram ($3,800)

 So I got a call this morning from the New York Giants asking if I’d consider taking a wide receiver spot on the team. I told them to contact my agent, but I’m considering it… The Giants wide receiver position is a disaster! It’s horrible if you’re a Giants fan, but it could work out well for us. Overnight Evan Engram has to have become Eli Mannings number one target. It’s not looking good for Sterling Shepard, which leaves Roger Lewis at the number one receiver spot. (Scary!) After a very disappointing game last week against the Chargers, (4 targets and zero catches) I expect Engram to bounce back in a major way. After all, who the hell else in Manning supposed to throw to!?
The Denver defense is scary to bet against, but the tight end position does fairly well against them. (Which works out great for us and the Giants this week!) Tight ends are averaging 8.25 targets and 6 catches per game against them at an average of 10.21 yards per catch. Eli is known for loving to target his tight ends, which is a big reason why so many people were so excited about the arrival of Engram this year. It takes a little bit of time to build chemistry, but I’ll take last weeks production from Engram with a grain of salt and chalk it up as an off week. In the 4 games prior Engram was targeted 11, 7, 7 and 5 times, and had at least 44 yards in every game played. Engram will most likely be a somewhat popular play this week considering the fact that Eli Manning doesn’t really have anyone else to throw to. That won’t stop me from throwing him in some lines though, and it shouldn’t stop you either!

 

Austin Hooper ($3,500)

Time to pick on my embarrassment of a team, “The Miami Dolphins.” For anyone who doesn’t know, I am a die hard Dolphins fan. On game day my wife and kids are only allowed to wear Dolphins colors and the weeks that we lose are always rough for me. (Yeah I know, I should be used to them by now right!?) However I’m a realist, and I try not to let my own personal bias affect my lineups and especially not my write ups. While the Dolphins defense has greatly improved this year, tight ends continue to eat them up. Over the last couple years I’ve screamed at the TV on multiple occasions! While quarterbacks just continue to go back to their tight ends over and over again. You can’t blame them though because Miami just continues to let it happen. With Julio Jones and Sanu coming back from injury, they may not be at full strength. Considering how stingy the dolphins run defense has been this year. (70 yards per game at 3.35 yards per carry) I expect Hooper to play a major part in the Falcons offense this week.
The Dolphins are giving up 9.25 targets and 7 catches per game to tight ends this year. I actually expected the numbers to be a lot worse on paper as it seems like tight ends easily get theirs whenever they play Miami. However they haven’t exactly faced stiff competition at the quarterback position this year yet. That all changes on Sunday when they head into Matt Ryans house. This one could get ugly quick, and a 100 yard game with at least one touchdown isn’t out of the question for Austin Hooper. At $3,500 he comes in at a steal with the potential to be a HUGE Money Maker in week 6.

 

 

Bonus Money Makers: **George Kittle, Colby Fleener, **Zach Ertz, **A.J. Derby & Ryan Griffin

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